BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Iowa

Class: 1B Class Rank: 10 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength =  146.50

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Away    L   136.81  23  26   1B  26 (  6-  5) Montana                -9.44      6.44                      
  2 09/15/2018 Away    L   150.99  14  38   1A  15 (  8-  4) Iowa                    4.73    -28.73                      
  3 09/22/2018 Home    W   143.29  44   0   1B 117 (  7-  3) Hampton                -2.97 *   46.97                      
  4 09/27/2018 Away    W * 172.55  33   0   1B  23 (  7-  4) Indiana St             26.30      6.70                      
  5 10/06/2018 Home    L * 141.04  31  56   1B   1 ( 14-  0) North Dakota St        -5.22    -19.78                      
  6 10/13/2018 Away    W * 151.56  42  28   1B  32 (  4-  7) South Dakota            5.30      8.70                      
  7 10/20/2018 Home    W * 171.67  24   9   1B   4 ( 10-  3) South Dakota St        25.41    -10.41                      
  8 10/27/2018 Away    L * 121.34  17  37   1B  20 (  5-  6) Western Illinois      -24.91      4.91                      
  9 11/03/2018 Home    W * 156.77  26  16   1B   8 (  6-  5) Illinois St            10.51     -0.51                      
 10 11/10/2018 Away    L * 117.92  10  31   1B  37 (  4-  7) Youngstown St         -28.33      7.33                      
 11 11/17/2018 Home    W * 162.22  37   0   1B  39 (  4-  7) Missouri St            15.96     21.04                      
 12 11/24/2018 Home    W   129.13  16  13   1B  38 (  7-  5) Lamar                 -17.12     20.12                      
 13 12/01/2018 Away    L   146.03  16  23   1B   7 ( 10-  3) UC-Davis               -0.22     -6.78                      
      Averages             146.26  25.6 21.3

Best game:  172.55 = 33 point win over Indiana St
Worst game: 117.92 = 21 point loss to Youngstown St
Team stdev:  17.31